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NPC Rugby Best Bets - Round 1

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  • Best bets for the first round of the 2026 NPC 
  • Featured games include Southland vs Otago and Canterbury vs Auckland
  • Preview, stats & head to head 
NPC 2026 begins this week (Getty Images)
NPC 2026 begins this week (Getty Images)

Southland vs Otago

Southland are looking to start the new season with a win after a poor campaign in 2025. Last season, Southland managed to secure just three wins across their 10 outings, scoring 211 points and conceding 366 points. Ending the campaign 11 short of Counties Manukau in eighth shows just how far off the pace Southland were. The worry will be that they have lost four of their last five against their opponents, while they have been beaten in eight of their last 10. I back more pain for Southland in their opener. 

Otago ended the regular season a single points short of Canterbury at the summit after an excellent campaign. Eight wins and two defeats was a very good return, while they scored a league high 338 points, although they did concede 248 points, 80 more than leaders Canterbury. Their excellent regular season led into a pulsating 44-41 win over Waikato before they hammered Bay of Plenty 41-17 in the semi-finals. As good as they were across the season, they could not find a way to deny Canterbury as they slipped to a 36-28 loss in the final. Now, the focus will be on taking this disappointment and turning it into a trophy this year. With eight wins across their last 10 against Southland, I am backing the travelling side to secure a win in their opener. 

Canterbury vs Auckland

Canterbury return to the NPC looking to defend their crown after they continually showcased their ability to beat their opponents. Eight wins, one draw and one defeat saw Canterbury end the regular season a point clear of Otago which allowed them to accelerate as they beat Counties Manukau 23-15 before then hammering Hawke's Bay 43-19. The final went the way most people had predicted, with Canterbury surging to a 36-28 win. With three consecutive wins for Canterbury over Auckland heading into this one, this clash feels more of a question about how many they will win by. With Canterbury looking to start the season quickly, I back a comfortable win for the champions. 

Auckland ended the 2025 season well short of Counties Manukau in eighth after securing just two wins in 10 attempts. With 16 points on the board, Auckland were 11 short of a quarter-final berth after a poor season. Their campaign began with five successive defeats before a pair of wins over Tasman and Manawatu. Any hope they had of a resurgence was quickly put to an end as they were beaten three consecutive times. I predict that they will slump to a defeat in the toughest game they could have been given to start their season. 

Verdict

I am backing Otago and Canterbury to begin their seasons with strong performances as they both win. 

Best Bet1: Otago 13+ Southland vs Otago Winning Margin @11/10 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Canterbury 13+ Canterbury vs Auckland Winning Margin @10/11 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
Otago 13+
Southland vs Otago Winning Margin
@11/10 - 1 Unit
Bet £10 Get £10
Promo Code: NEWBONUS

New customers only. Bet £10+ to receive £10 in Free Bets. 7-day free bet expiry. Stake not returned. Promotional Terms Apply. 18+. GambleAware.org

Bet at dabble
Canterbury 13+
Canterbury vs Auckland Winning Margin
@10/11 - 1 Unit
£30 Free Bet
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Hollywood bets

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