Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini Preview & Tips - Kostyuk to pass Paolini test and move into Wimbledon semi-final

Jasmine Paolini needed a third set to eventually beat Alexandra Eala in the fourth round as she triumphed 6-4 4-6 6-3. 

The pair have met three times before, with Kostyuk wining once and Paolini winning the other two matches. 

Marta Kostyuk has impressed at Wimbledon in 2026, securing a pair of 2-0 wins along with two battling victories over Anna Blinkova and Emma Navarro in 2-1 triumphs. 

Kostyuk has shown her ability to blow opponents away, while she has also excelled when given a real challenge in a match. The quality of opponent continues to rise as she meets Jasmine Paolini in the quarter-finals, but Kostyuk will not feel this is a level she cannot reach. 

In 2026. Kostyuk has secured 27 wins in 32 outings, while she has won all four of her matches on grass this season. Across her career, grass court matches have not seen her consistently excel, with 20 wins coming in 39 outings. However, with Paolini winning 21 of her 40, neither player has excelled across their careers on this surface. This simply means recent form is even more important, and I predict that Kostyuk will continue to impress in 2026. 

Like Kostyuk, Jasmine Paolini has enjoyed two wins in straight sets and two 2-1 victories, with her 6-4 4-6 6-3 win over Alexandra Eala in the last round seeing Paolini keep her hopes of securing a first Slam alive. 

Both players have struggled for form on grass across their careers, with Paolini arriving with 21 wins and 19 defeats. While she has won her opening four matches at Wimbledon this season, Paolini has struggled at Slams, with her Australian Open and French Open campaigns in 2026 ending in the third round or sooner. 

Paolini is an undoubtedly talented player, but I predict that she will struggle in this one. Kostyuk has been in brilliant form across the season, and I back her to move into the semi-finals at Wimbledon on the back of a 2-1 win.